ASA PLAY 8* ON Las Vegas Raiders +3 over Buffalo Bills - This one sets up very nicely for the home team. The Raiders are coming off a loss last week @ New England (we were on the Pats!) but the situation was not ideal for them in that game. The Raiders were coming off a big home opening win over the Saints which was the inaugural game at Allegiant Stadium in Vegas. They then had to travel on the short week as the win over the Saints was on a Monday night. It was also their 2nd trip to the east coast in their first 3 weeks. New England was coming off a tight loss @ Seattle and the Pats have been fantastic under Belichick off a SU loss (now 35-13 ATS). It turned into a 36-20 win for the Patriots which we expected. There were some bright spots for the Raiders as they averaged 6.7 YPP but were limited to just 56 offensive snaps partly due to 3 key turnovers. We feel the roles are reversed for this game. It’s Buffalo coming off a big win and now having to travel. Buffalo is 3-0 on the season but they played 2 division rivals who have a combined 1-5 record (Jets & Fins) and then last week played host to the Rams. Last Sunday they jumped out to a 28-3 lead only to see LA scored 29 consecutive points and take a 32-28 lead late in the game. The Raiders scored a TD with 15 seconds left to pick up the 35-32 win and a game like that can take a lot out of a team physically and emotionally. The Bills were also outgained by over 100 yards in the game so they were a bit fortunate to get that win. Now traveling to Las Vegas will be a tough spot for this team against a Raider team that will be hungry for a win after losing last Sunday. Buffalo simply isn’t all the used to being a road favorite and this particular situation has not been good to them. Since 1994, the Bills have been a road favorite after a SU home win just 19 times and have covered only 6 of those games (just 31%). They have been in that spot once already this year and almost lost @ Miami (non-cover) after beating the Jets at home. We like the Raiders to give Buffalo their first loss of the season so we’ll take the points here.