ASA top play 10* on: Over 40.5 Denver Broncos at New York Jets, Thursday 8:20 PM ET - These are two bad offenses as they rank in the bottom three in the league along with the Giants in most statistical categories. Both average less than 5.0 yards per play and less than 16PPG. So how can we bet Over here? For several good reasons starting with who each team has played and how it’s impacted their offensive numbers. The Jets have faced the Colts who are 1st in defensive efficiency this season, the 49ers who are 5th and the Bills who were 7th a year ago. The Broncos are in a similar boat as they have faced Tampa Bay and Pittsburgh who currently rank 2nd and 3rd in DEFF and the Titans who are league average. It’s no wonder these two teams have struggled offensively to start the season. Both will face defenses that are slightly above average and slightly below and should have a much easier time scoring in this Thursday night affair. Both teams do not waste a lot of time running their offense as they rank 10th and 11th in pace of play averaging less than 25.83 second to run a play. NFL teams are averaging 51 PPG combined this year. Overs are 30-18 on the season and through 3 weeks last season averages scores in the NFL were 44.5, so up almost a full TD per game. The other big key here is the actual number posted by Vegas. Average Totals set in 2020 / week 1 =45.5 / week 2 = 46 / week 3 = 48 / week 4 = 50. With this number being as low as it is we have to bet OVER here.