#469/470 ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON Over 51 Points – Miami @ San Francisco, Sunday at 4:25 PM ET - San Francisco is getting Garoppolo back at QB here which will help this offense immensely. He’s a big upgrade over Mullens & Beathard. Top TE Kittle came back last week and their starting RB Mostert looks like he may be back as well for this one. San Fran’s offense has actually been playing well with some of their top playmakers on the shelf. Last week they scored just 20 points vs Philly but had over 400 yards of offense on 6.0 YPP. However they committed 3 turnovers including an interception at the Eagle 14 yard line as they were heading in to potentially score. Prior to last week the Niners scored 31 vs the Jets and 36 vs a very good NY Giants defense that ranks in the top 10 in a number of key defensive categories. We see San Francisco moving the ball at will this week vs a Miami defense that ranks last in the NFL allowing 6.6 YPP. The Fins offense has actually come around nicely after their season opener @ New England where they scored only 11 points. Since that game they have scored 28, 31, and 23 points. Last week’s 23 they put up on Seattle was very deceiving as Miami settled for FIVE field goals in that game despite rolling up over 400 yards on 6.1 YPP. We hope that head coach Brian Flores learns from that mistake as in today’s game, it’s very hard to win settling for that many FG’s. High scoring games are now the norm (league average is 51.5 PPG) and they’ll need to score with San Fran to keep up here. We think they will. The Niner defense is a bit overrated right now as they’ve faced the Jets, Giants, and Eagles in their last 3 games. Those 3 offense rank 30th, 31st, and 32nd this year in yards per play! With the 49ers favored by 8 and the total set around 50, the final score expected is 29-21. We like both team to eclipse their expected totals in this game. The weather looks great in SF for the game and we like the OVER here.