#257 ASA PLAY 8* ON Houston +3.5 over Tennessee, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET - The Titans are 4-0 on the season but just 1-3 ATS and they have been outgained by 32 YPG on the season. They’ve had 3 games go to the wire and they could easily have a few more losses. Before beating Buffalo handily on Tuesday, the Titans wins came by 2, 3, and 1 points vs Denver, Jacksonville, and Minnesota who have a combined 3-11 record. Now back to their win on Tuesday night. They topped Buffalo 42-16 in what looked like a blowout if you simply looked at the final score. The fact is the Bills actually outgained Tennessee in the game but turned the ball over 3 times which directly led to half of the Titans points (21). Let’s also not forget Tennessee had a bunch of time off due to COVID quarantines and have practiced very little in the last 2 weeks. Now they played on a Tuesday and have a very short week here. We think that catches up to them in this game. Houston played the toughest schedule in the NFL through their first 3 weeks losing to KC, Baltimore and Pittsburgh. They then lost to a Minnesota team that is really starting to come around and is better than their record. O’Brien then got canned and this team responded last week with an easy win over Jacksonville 30-14. The Texans rushed for 129 yards and averaged 8.4 yards per play in that game so their offense looks like they’ve gotten back on track. Their running game should keep rolling here vs a Tennessee defense that ranks dead last in the NFL allowing 5.8 YPC. Houston is 12-5-1 ATS the last 18 in this series and we think they have a great shot at the outright win here. Take the points.