ASA PLAY 8* ON Appalachian State Mountaineers (-) vs Arkansas State Red Wolves, Thursday at 7:30 PM ET: Game #306

Arkansas State is off a tight 7-point win last Thursday but allowed 52 points in that game. In fact, in each of their last two games against FBS level opponents, the Red Wolves have allowed 52 points each time. That is not going to cut it against a Mountaineers team that is allowing just 19.3 points per game so far this season. Although this is a big number on this game, Appalachian State is the class of the Sun Belt Conference and 8 of their 11 regular season wins last year came by a margin of 14 or more points. The Mountaineers also won their bowl game by 14 points. For the Red Wolves, 2 of their 3 losses in SBC action came by a margin of 14 or more points. Their two non-conference defeats were by an average margin of 31 points last season. Arkansas State has a solid offense but a sieve-like defense. These teams did not meet last season but they did meet the year before. Even though that game was at Arkansas State, the Mountaineers rolled to a 35-9 win. Our computer math model is calling for an equally impressive margin of victory in the rematch here in 2020. Appalachian State allowed 20 points per game last season and their respectable defense is on a similar trajectory already this season. Arkansas State, on the other hand, allowed 34.3 ppg last season and is looking even worse this season with allowing an average of 39.8 points per game even though that included a game against an FCS school too! This one gets ugly as the Mountaineers crush the Red Wolves. Lay the big points with Appalachian State in what should be a massive home blowout in evening action Thursday.