#346 ASA PLAY 8* ON Texas Longhorns -9.5 over Baylor Bears, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET - Kansas is 0-4 this season and has lost those 4 games by an average margin of defeat of 28 points. What does that have to do with this play? Well the only win Baylor has came against the Jayhawks in their first game of the season. Baylor's only other game was a loss at West Virginia. Though that was a tight loss (in double OT) for the Bears, they were fortunate they were even in the game. Baylor benefited from being +2 in turnovers in that game and they only had 256 yards of offense in that one! The Bears came into this season with a lot of issues and have been dealing with Covid complications too and that is why they have played only 2 games so far this year! Considering all the pandemic-related issues and the fact the Bears have a new coach this has already been a challenging season for Baylor and they are only two games into it. Things get much tougher this week as the Bears and Horns are rivals and UT is out for revenge after losing last year's game by a two TD margin despite the yardage being equal. Texas is the much better team in this year's match-up and they will roll at home. The Longhorns have a big edge here as they have played 4 games already so they have an edge of 2 extra games under their belts. Also, the situation is ideal as they were off last week but that followed back to back tight losses to TCU and Oklahoma. The Longhorns are chomping at the bit to get back on the field. While their defense has been an issue this season, the UT offense has been nearly unstoppable. The Horns are an efficient offense that plays fast and they are averaging 49.5 points per game this season. Even taking OT points out of the equation, the Longhorns are averaging 44.2 points per game this year. The Bear simply won't be able to keep up. Yes the Texas defense has been a weakness this season but they allowed just 18 points and 345 yards per game in their two home games. They will respond here at home and take advantage of a struggling Bears offense in this one. The Longhorns have had one two-game losing streak each of the last 3 seasons. The streak never reached 3 in any of the 3 seasons. The result was a 3-0 mark with an average margin of victory of 21 points. Per our computer math model, the Longhorns have a high probability of winning this game by a margin of 2 to 3 touchdowns. Lay the points and look for a home blowout in this Saturday afternoon Big 12 match-up.