#470 ASA PLAY 8* ON New England -2.5 over San Francisco, Sunday at 4:25 PM ET - Great spot for the Patriots who played a poor game last week in a home loss vs Denver. It was New England’s 2nd straight loss after getting beat by KC in their previous game with QB Cam Newton out. With Belichick as the head coach, the Patriots are a perfect 9-0 SU since 2002 when coming off back to back SU losses. Last week wasn’t a great situation for the Pats as they had only been able to practice once in full pads in the previous 2 weeks to do COVID issues. They looked rusty, as expected, with 3 turnovers in the game. Now coming off the loss they have been able to get a full week of practice in and we expect a much better performance. Before their home loss to the Broncos, the Patriots won both of their home tilts by double digits. San Fran is off a huge, must win, home game vs the Rams. They had lost back to back home games to Philly & Miami and simply had to win that game last week. We expect a bit of a letdown here in their first road game since September 27th. Let’s not forget, the 49ers previous 2 wins this season before their upset last week came against the Giants and the Jets who have a combined 1-12 record and a combined point differential of -162 points. This look ahead line last week on this game was Patriots -5.5 and we’re getting them a full FG lower than that simply based on last week’s results. The value is absolutely on the Patriots who thrive in this spot and are now in a must win situation of their own with 3 of their next 4 games coming on the road. Team off a SU loss as a favorite (Pats) vs a team off a SU win as an underdog (Niners) is a very solid situational play in the NFL. We’ll take New England here.