PREMIUM
CBB Total Crusher
(NCAAB) San Diego State vs. Arizona State,
Total: 142.00 | -105.00 Over
Result: Win
Total: 142.00 | -105.00 Over
Result: Win
ASA top play on 10*: OVER 142 San Diego State vs. Arizona State, 10PM ET
We like OVER here, even more with the line drop from 147 to where it currently stands. There are a few givens here that help us accurately predict a higher scoring game here. We know for a fact the Sun Devils are going to play fast and score points. In a short sample size the Sun Devils are averaging 1.113 point per possession (10th nationally) and typically take just 15.5 seconds to get a shot up which is 46th. That coincides to last year’s averages of 1.060PPP (108th) and an Adjusted Tempo of 73.2 which was 14th. Arizona State averaged 74PPG a season ago. ASU was below average in points allowed per game last season (195th) at 71PPG allowed. ASA played a better version of San Diego State earlier this season and Vegas set a number of 158 on that game and the two teams combined for 157 total points. We haven’t overlooked the fact the Aztecs play extremely slow and are fantastic defensively. SDSU is 24th in defensive efficiency this season and were 10th last season allowing just .9000 points per possession. But they are also highly efficient on offense and score 1.070 points per possession, shoot 3’s well at 32.4% and have an EFG% of 50. The Aztecs attempt a lot of three pointers at 24 per game and ASU is not great at defending beyond the arc. The Total on this game has been over-compensated and sets up for an EASY OVER!
We like OVER here, even more with the line drop from 147 to where it currently stands. There are a few givens here that help us accurately predict a higher scoring game here. We know for a fact the Sun Devils are going to play fast and score points. In a short sample size the Sun Devils are averaging 1.113 point per possession (10th nationally) and typically take just 15.5 seconds to get a shot up which is 46th. That coincides to last year’s averages of 1.060PPP (108th) and an Adjusted Tempo of 73.2 which was 14th. Arizona State averaged 74PPG a season ago. ASU was below average in points allowed per game last season (195th) at 71PPG allowed. ASA played a better version of San Diego State earlier this season and Vegas set a number of 158 on that game and the two teams combined for 157 total points. We haven’t overlooked the fact the Aztecs play extremely slow and are fantastic defensively. SDSU is 24th in defensive efficiency this season and were 10th last season allowing just .9000 points per possession. But they are also highly efficient on offense and score 1.070 points per possession, shoot 3’s well at 32.4% and have an EFG% of 50. The Aztecs attempt a lot of three pointers at 24 per game and ASU is not great at defending beyond the arc. The Total on this game has been over-compensated and sets up for an EASY OVER!
