ASA play on 8*: Oklahoma -5.5 over Iowa State, 12 PM ET

We are betting the number here and taking the dominant Sooners in this Big 12 Championship game. Earlier this season OU was favored by a touchdown at Iowa State and now laying less than that on a neutral field. This number should be 10-points at a minimum and our power ratings has Oklahoma favored by 12-points. Both teams come into this game playing well with ISU winning five straight, OU six W’s in a row. Examining the yards per play numbers for both teams we find they are relatively equal with Oklahoma holding a slight edge in both offensive and defensive yards per play. Looking at two common opponents (Baylor and Oklahoma State) we find Oklahoma was much bigger favorites in both games and had dominating wins (+41 total points) while ISU lost to Okie State by 3-points and barely beat Baylor by 7 (+4 total point differential). Iowa State is very well coached and has a solid roster but are in unfamiliar territory here while Oklahoma has been here, done that. The Sooners have dominated the Big 12 with a 83-18 winning record dating back to 2010 and they’ve won those games by an average margin of 15PPG. Lay it with the Oklahoma here.