ASA top play on 10* OVER 9.5 Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins, 7:40 PM ET - These lineups just saw these pitchers Wednesday and they pounded them. We expect more of the same here. The White Sox saw Dallas Keuchel get rocked for 6 earned runs in less than 6 innings against the Twins. The Chicago southpaw has walked 4 while striking out just 2 over his last 2 starts. Yes a pitcher can pitch to contact and have success but not getting enough strikeouts can eventually catch up to you and this is particularly true when facing a team with power. The Twins certainly have some sluggers in their lineup and, even with Buxton currently out, these teams combined for 21 runs when Keuchel faced JA Happ last week. Happ, Twins southpaw, has been rocked in each of his last 3 starts against the White Sox with 19 earned runs allowed in 12 and 1 / 3 innings versus Chicago! The White Sox lead the majors in both batting average (.293) and slugging percentage (.480) against left-handed pitching this season! It will be very nice weather in Minneapolis for this one and the Twins have scored 11 runs on 19 hits the past two games as they wrapped up a home series against Oakland yesterday. Minnesota has a .434 slugging percentage versus lefties this season and that ranks 7th out of all 30 MLB teams. As for Keuchel, he historically pitches better at home than on the road. This season is still young and 2020 was a shortened season. Looking at his stats from 2015 to 2019 only one of the 5 seasons saw him pitch as well on the road as at home. In the other 4 seasons his ERA was a run higher in one season and 2 runs higher in the other 3 seasons. In none of the 5 seasons was he better on the road than at home. Keuchel likely to again struggle against the Twins here, especially since this one is at Target Field, but also look for the White Sox potent lineup to continue its dominance of left-hand pitching and pound Happ again! The White Sox have scored at least 8 runs in 4 of the last 6 road games. Chicago also has scored an average of 8.7 runs per game in going 3-0 against Minnesota this season. With the Twins now at home for the series rematch, we look for plenty of runs from both sides in this one! Bet Over