ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Minnesota Wild Money Line (+105) over Vegas Golden Knights, Saturday at 8 PM ET - The Wild won 21 of 28 home games in the regular season. Before losing Game 2 of this series at Vegas, Minnesota's win in Game 1 made it 6 out of 7 victories for the Wild in 7 most recent meetings with the Golden Knights. Is Minnesota better than Vegas? Not on paper no but, prior to getting blasted on Thursday (exceptions happen), the point is that it has already been proven that the Wild do match up very well with the Golden Knights and now they are at home and off an ugly loss! One home ice loss does not change everything for Minnesota and this is a very confident team on home ice and one of their biggest concerns, goaltending, is actually holding up well so far in this series. You can't even pin the Game 3 loss on goalie Cam Talbot. The Wild simply were horrible in front of him and subconsciously let up after a 2-0 first period as they got hung out to dry the rest of the way. Vegas has still been without Max Pacioretty and he is a key part of their offense. If he returned tonight it would be a surprise and also it would be unlikely that he would right away be his usual self too. Pacioretty has missed quite a lot of time and there will be rust and this is now post-season speed and intensity. All factors considered and, per our computer math model, the home team offers tremendous line value in this spot. Prior to meaningless late season games against St Louis when the Wild had wrapped up a post-season spot already, note that the Wild went 5-1-1 in the regular season when off a loss by a margin of 3 goals or more. After getting beat badly in Game 3, look for a huge response from the home side in Game 4. Bet Minnesota Wild +105