ASA top play on 10* OVER 227.5 Denver Nuggets @ Portland Trailblazers, 8:05 PM ET -

This has obviously been an Over series as 4 of the five games have eclipsed the Total and all four of those finished with more than 232 plus points. In the most recent game the Blazers and Nuggets had scored 242 total points in regulation. In the one game that didn’t go Over the number the Nuggets had a horrible shooting night at just 34% overall and 30% from the 3-point line. That was very uncharacteristic of the Nuggets who are the 4th best shooting team in the NBA at 48.5% and 8th best 3-point shooting team at 37.7%. Not to mention the Blazers defense ranks 25th in overall field goal percentage defense. Had the Nuggets had a normal shooting night they score a minimum of 20 more points and Game 4 goes Over the number easily. These same two teams also met the last game of the regular season and scored 248 in that game. This matchup features two of the top 10 offenses in terms of scoring and one of the worst defenses in the NBA (Portland ranks 29th in defensive efficiency rating). The Over is 5-1 the last six meetings and 7-3 Over in the last ten in Portland. If we get and ‘average’ shooting night by both teams this game gets to the 230+ mark again.