#973 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Houston Astros -110 over Minnesota Twins, Saturday at 7:15 PM ET - The Twins are getting plenty of respect here because Jose Berrios is on the mound. That is why, despite the Astros being the much hotter team of late, this game is priced in nearly a pick'em price range. Berrios is coming off a start in which he allowed 4 earned runs. While that start was on the road and you might expect him to now be much better at home, this has simply not been the case for Berrios this season. The Minnesota right-hander has allowed 4 earned runs in 3 of his last 4 home starts! On the season, Berrios has an unimpressive 4.71 ERA in his home starts and opponents are hitting .270 against him at Target Field. The Astros counter with Luis Garcia here. The right-hander is 5-0 in his last 5 starts and allowed a total of only 6 earned runs in those 5 starts! Adding to the value in this spot is that Houston's lineup has hitters with some strong experience against Berrios. The Twins, on the other hand, have just one hitter with experience (Simmons 0 for 2) against Garcia. Not only that, the Twins are overall 3-7 in their last 10 games. The Astros are 9-3 last 12 games overall and our computer math model reflects a road rout is likely here. We will grab the road team (and hotter team!) with the "hidden" pitching edge on the mound at a fantastic price on the money line in this one and bet Houston Astros -110