#904 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 +105 on Run Line over Washington Nationals, Wednesday at 7:05 PM ET - The Nationals had lost 5 straight games entering last night's game and the Phillies had won 5 of 7 home games. Washington got the win last night but that certainly does not completely erase the recent trends involving level of play for these two teams. That being said, it is not a surprise that Philadelphia is such a big favorite here on the money line with Zack Wheeler on the mound. Indeed the Phillies have a huge pitching edge here and our computer math model has a blowout win in the forecast for this one and we couldn't agree more! That is why the value play here is with the Phillies on the run line as you do not even have to lay juice to make that bet and Philadelphia is in line for a big win here. The Phillies Wheeler is 5-2 with a 2.09 ERA in his home starts this season. The Nationals Patrick Corbin is 1-5 with a 6.13 ERA in his road starts this season! Corbin is also 2-5 with a 6.52 ERA in his night game starts. He had success against the Phillies but that was earlier this season. His current form as well as the above stats suggest he is likely to get hit hard tonight. Corbin is 1-3 with a 7.17 ERA in the month of July. Opponents are hitting .330 against the southpaw this month. The Phillies have won 67% of Wheeler's home starts this season and the Nationals have lost 67% of Corbin's road starts this season. Philadelphia has won 10 of Wheeler's last 14 starts including each of his last 3 at home. They do it again here after falling short 6-4 last night and they turn the tables on the Nationals in this one. We’ll back the Philadelphia Phillies on the run line early Wednesday evening.