#109 ASA TOP PLAY ON 9* Arizona +6.5 over Dallas, Sunday at 4:25 PM ET - This is an absolute buy low, sell high spot. This line was Cowboys -2.5 on the look ahead line last week and now, because of recent result, the Cards are 10-5 and getting nearly a TD in this game. They are fully capable of winning this game outright. They are on a 3 game losing streak but have outgained all 3 opponents and 2 of those losses came by a TD vs the Rams & Colts who are playing as well as anyone. They had chances to win both of those games. Arizona was favored by 3 points in both of those games and now they are getting nearly a full TD vs Dallas? The Cards have been a great road team this year going 7-1 SU & ATS away from home. They’ve also cashed easily in every game they’ve been an underdog winning all 5 of those spots outright beating SF, LA Rams, Tennessee, Cleveland, and Seattle (when Wilson was healthy) all on the road. We get it Dallas is red hot winning 4 in a row both SU & ATS. Who have they beaten during that 4 game run? New Orleans, Washington, NY Giants, and Washington again. Big deal. Last week’s home blowout of Washington has pushed this line higher than it should be. Dallas is a solid but not spectacular 6-2 SU at home this year with losses to both the Raiders & Broncos, far from high level teams. Arizona has played the tougher schedule (18 SOS to 28th SOS for Dallas) yet they are only 1 game behind Dallas overall and their season long numbers are better. The Cards have a +0.5 YPP differential on the season while Dallas is +0.3. The Boys haven’t faced a really mobile QB that can throw since taking on KC back on November 21st, a game they lost by 10. We think Kyler Murray will give them trouble in this game. Too many points in a game that Arizona can absolutely win.