#113 ASA PLAY ON Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 over Washington Commanders, Sunday at 1 PM ET - Some may argue this is a bigger game for Washington as they attempt to hold on and simply get in the playoffs. They are currently the #7 seed while the Eagles have already clinched a playoff spot. We would disagree with that assumption. A win today and Philly clinches the NFC East and they now have a realistic shot at the #1 seed with Detroit racking up massive injuries down the stretch. Washington is a bit overvalued in our opinion having played the easiest schedule in the NFL so far. Of their 9 wins, not a single one has come vs a team with a current winning record. Their best win thus far was vs Arizona, who is 7-7, and that was way back in September. Their next best win came vs a Cincinnati team that is currently 6-8 and the Commaders were outgained by more than 1.0 YPP in that game. They have lost 3 of their last 5 games with their 2 wins during that stretch coming vs Tennessee (2-10 record) and New Orleans (who is 5-9). Their 20-19 win last week vs the Saints was not impressive as Washington was outgained 4.8 to 4.4 YPP and New Orleans was playing with their 2nd and 3rd string QB’s. The Eagles have won 10 straight games and even more impressive they’ve outgained 8 of those 10 opponents by at least 100 yards. Last week vs a very solid Pittsburgh team, the Eagles dominated more than the 27-13 score would indicate as they outgained Pittsburgh 401 to 163. The Eagles have outgained their opponents by +1.0 YPP this season and in their first meeting with Washington, an 8 point win, the outgained the Commanders 6.2 YPP to 4.2 YPP. Unlike Washington, the Eagles have some very impressive wins this year including beating the Ravens, Steelers, Packers, and Rams. Philly should control the trenches here just as they did in the 1st game (5.7 YPC to 3.3 YPC) which should lead to a win. We’ll take the much better team laying a small number.