#619/620 ASA FREE PLAY ON Over 154 Points – Illinois vs Wisconsin, Saturday at 1 PM ET - We have 2 of the top 20 most efficient offenses in CBB in this game with Illinois ranking 3rd & Wisconsin 19th. We can’t say the same for the defenses. Both defenses have fallen off drastically compared to last year’s numbers with Wisconsin ranking 54th in defensive efficiency (after finishing 19th last year) and Illinois is 95th in defensive efficiency (after finishing 26th last year). Not only are those number not great to say the least, both of these defenses have been worse as of late. Since Feb 1st Illinois is 270th in defensive efficiency allowing 1.10 PPP & Wisconsin is 85th allowing 1.01 PPP. The Illini have allowed at least 80 points in 5 of their last 6 games but offensive they are rolling putting up at least 80 points in 11 of their last 12 games. Wisconsin just allowed 70+ points in their last 2 games vs poor offensive teams. Maryland, who is 13th in offensive efficiency in Big 10 put up 70 points and Indiana, who is 11th in offensive efficiency in conference play, put up 74 points. Going back further, the Badgers have allowed an average of 74 PPG over their last 8 and faced only 2 top 35 offenses (efficiency wise) during that stretch. Offensively, both teams can shoot the ball. They both rank in the top 4 shooting teams in the Big 10 (eFG%) and both make more than 76% of their FT’s so we’ll get some extra points from the charity stripe here. Illinois is 20-8 to the OVER this year and even Wisconsin is 17-11 to the OVER for a combined 37-19 to the OVER. We expect at least 160 points in this one and with the opening line at 155 we’ll take the Over.