Simply put, it's too many points for Cleveland to lay.

The series is tied 2-2. Cleveland's wins have been by three and four points. Only twice in their last 11 games have the Cavaliers beaten any team by more than six points.

Indiana has been underrated all season. The Pacers are a tough out. They're getting contributions from their entire rotation. The same can't be said for the Cavaliers. Only LeBron James can be counted on. George Hill is questionable after missing Game 4 with back spasms. I don't think there's ever been a game in which George Hill wasn't questionable.

Kevin Love is dealing with a thumb injury that has affected his shooting. He's missed 30 of 47 shots in the series and committed 11 turnovers.

The Pacers are mad they let Game 4 slip away especially being home. But they are 6-0 ATS following a loss and 6-1 ATS in their last road games when taking on an opponent with an above .500 home mark. Indiana also has covered in six of its last seven visits to Cleveland.

The Cavaliers have failed to cover eight of the last 10 times when playing on two day's rest. Some of that I attribute to Tyronn Lue, who I regard as the worst coach in the playoffs.