The Padres play in the best pitcher's stadium in the majors, Petco Park. They also aren't a very good offensive team ranking in the bottom-four in the major categories, including scoring, batting and homers.

So it's not a huge surprise the Under is 17-8-1 in San Diego's last 26 games for 68 percent. I see another Under in a pitching matchup of Rich Hill versus rookie lefty Eric Lauer.

Hill is rounding into shape. He's given up just three earned runs in his last two starts spanning 11 2/3 innings with a 15-to-1 strikeout-to-walk ratio. He has held the Padres to a batting average of .184 in 45 1/3 career innings versus them, averaging 11.1 strikeouts per nine innings.

I have full confidence Hill will keep the weak-hitting Padres in check. But what about Lauer?

Lauer has come on after a rocky beginning to post a 2.76 ERA in his last seven starts. He shut out the Dodgers on seven hits and one walk in six innings when he beat them, 3-0, on May 6 in Monterrey, Mexico. That was his best start. Lauer won't have to worry about Yasiel Puig, who is on the DL.

The Under is 22-8-1 (73%) during the Dodgers' past 31 games versus a southpaw starter.

Note, too, that Victor Carapazza is slated to be the home plate umpire. He's one of the strongest Under umps in the majors. During the last five years, 60 percent of the games Carapazza has been behind the plate have gone Under at 83-55.