PREMIUM
Stephen Nover's NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Month - 71% NBA Run
(NBA) Milwaukee vs. Atlanta,
Total: 219.00 | -105.00 Under
Result: Win
Total: 219.00 | -105.00 Under
Result: Win
Trae Young is questionable with a bruised foot/ankle sprain so now we have the lowest total of this series for this Game 4. It's still worth going Under. Young is averaging 29.8 points and 9.5 assists in 15 postseason games. The scoring average spikes to 32.7 points against the Bucks.
Even if Young can play, which I'm assuming he'll give it a try, he's not going to be 100 percent. His mobility is going to be impacted, probably severely. He scored only three points during the final 13 minutes of Sunday's Game 3.
The Hawks can't make up for Young's reduced firepower because of other player's injuries. De'Andre Hunter is out and sharpshooter Bogdan Bogdanovic is bothered by a sore knee.
The Bucks are underrated defensively. Only four teams were better during the season in defensive shooting percentage. Milwaukee is giving up just 101.4 points in its last five games, three against the Hawks and two versus the Nets.
Atlanta's defense showed huge improvement once Nate McMillan took over as coach. The Hawks ranked third in defensive 3-point percentage. Atlanta has given up 105.6 points in its six playoff home games.
The Hawks' mindset is going to be on defense with Young out, or limited. I'm expecting a slow tempo with the Hawks emphasizing patience and trying to work the ball inside to John Collins and Clint Capela, who are more secondary-type of scorers.
Kris Middleton broke out of a slump to connect on 15 of 26 from the floor in the Bucks' 113-102 Game 3 Sunday victory. Middleton, though, had missed 24 of 36 field goals during the first two games. Aside from Giannis Antetokounmpo, the Bucks don't have another scorer that can fully be trusted.
There are some key current Under trends. The Hawks have gone Under six of the last seven times they've been a 'dog, while the Bucks are 5-1-1 to the Under when favored. The low side also has cashed in four of the last five meetings between the two teams.
Even if Young can play, which I'm assuming he'll give it a try, he's not going to be 100 percent. His mobility is going to be impacted, probably severely. He scored only three points during the final 13 minutes of Sunday's Game 3.
The Hawks can't make up for Young's reduced firepower because of other player's injuries. De'Andre Hunter is out and sharpshooter Bogdan Bogdanovic is bothered by a sore knee.
The Bucks are underrated defensively. Only four teams were better during the season in defensive shooting percentage. Milwaukee is giving up just 101.4 points in its last five games, three against the Hawks and two versus the Nets.
Atlanta's defense showed huge improvement once Nate McMillan took over as coach. The Hawks ranked third in defensive 3-point percentage. Atlanta has given up 105.6 points in its six playoff home games.
The Hawks' mindset is going to be on defense with Young out, or limited. I'm expecting a slow tempo with the Hawks emphasizing patience and trying to work the ball inside to John Collins and Clint Capela, who are more secondary-type of scorers.
Kris Middleton broke out of a slump to connect on 15 of 26 from the floor in the Bucks' 113-102 Game 3 Sunday victory. Middleton, though, had missed 24 of 36 field goals during the first two games. Aside from Giannis Antetokounmpo, the Bucks don't have another scorer that can fully be trusted.
There are some key current Under trends. The Hawks have gone Under six of the last seven times they've been a 'dog, while the Bucks are 5-1-1 to the Under when favored. The low side also has cashed in four of the last five meetings between the two teams.
