I don't trust erratic Browns quarterback Jameis Winston, nor Cleveland's offensive line, against this caliber of defense. Denver gives up the third-fewest points, second fewest yards and has the most sacks.

The Browns are 0-4 in their last four road games with an average loss of more than 12 points in those games. Two of those defeats occurred to the Raiders and Saints, teams far worse than the Broncos.

Bo Nix plays better at home and should be able to find openings in a Browns defense missing their most versatile defender, injured linebacker Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah.