GUARANTEED: On Tuesday in MAC Play we are on Toledo. 304 at 7:30 eastern. Toledo fits 2 solid systems tonight. One is to play on winning conference home teams as a dog or favorite to -26 that are off back to back wins the last by 21 or more, and scored 55 or more points, vs an opponent like Buffalo in this case that is off back to back straight up and ats wins. This system is cashing to a 24-5 record long term and we have a subset that make it 96%. Buffalo is on a long win streak of 7 games covering in the last mostly against mediocre teams. Tonight they will take on a Toledo team that beat them last year on the road and is 8-1 to the spread at home off a win of 10 or more points. Toledo is 11-3 straight up and ats as a home favorite from -3.5 to -7. Buffalo has won the last 2 road game by 20+ points and were defeated in 2 non conference road losses at Baylor and Ohio. St. The Bulls are just 5-40 straight up vs winning teams. Look for Toledo to win and cover.


In Bonus MAC Action We are on Bowling Green. Game 302 at 7:30 eastern. Bowling Green fits a nice system here tonight that plays on home teams from -10 to -30 that come in off a win by 40 or more points, like Bowling Green tonight, that are playing a conference opponent off a loss. Long term this system is 41-19 to the spread. Ohio U was inept last week in Buffalo and are just 3-11 ats in the series. They are also 1-3 ats as a road dog from 7.5 to 10, Take Bowling Green tonight.