On Saturday the BIG 10 play is on Nebraska. Game 519 at 1:00 eastern. No bones about it we are fading Northwestern big time here as they fit a dual qualifier system with a Powerful 96% subset. The base system pertains to playing against home teams that are off back to back dog wins with the last one being at +10 or more. The Wildcats are off a pair of road dog wins at +10 and +17 and are in major bounce mode here today. Nebraska has several powerful statistical indicators backing them here. The Huskers have won 2 of 3 as a road dog of 3 or less, and come off a blowout loss at Michigan where they scored a season low 50 points. In games after a conference loss they have rebounded to cover 4 of 5, including 3-1 ats this season off 1 exact loss and 3-0 ats after a game where they allowed 50% shooting or higher. Nebraska is 6-2 after scoring 65 or less and has covered 4 of the last 5 vs winning teams in the second half of a season. Northwestern has 5 straight up dog win this season and now they are favored. They are a lousy 1-5 straight up as a home favorite of 3 or less and 1-6 straight up and to the spread when playing with 5 or 6 days of rest. Nebraska has won 2 of the 3 in the series and is as live a dog as can be in this one. Take Nebraska.




The Horizon League Play is on Wright St. Game 528 at 1:00 eastern. Wright St already has beaten Cleveland St once this season 49-46. Now they face them at home where they have won 12 of the last 13 and have the 9th rated home defense in the country. Cleveland St is in play against Mode here as a road team off 3+ road wins. They cashed big on Thursday for us but we must fade them here at a venue where they have lost 11 of the last 15 straight up and to the spread. Cleveland St has lost both games this season vs good defensive teams that allow 65 or less points per game and have dropped 6 of the last to the spread after allowing 80 or more. They had a nice come from behind win at Oakland but will face a much tougher test at Wright St today. Look for Wright St to take another from Cleveland St.