This is a 10* TOTAL BOOKIEKILLER on the OVER Saints/Texans.

Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games to open the season, but I'm expecting those trends to finally end this weekend in this interesting non-conference matchup.

The Saints have in fact seen the total go UNDER the number in all five games they've played so far this year, including in their 34-0 win at the Patriots last weekend. Great defensive play has seen the Saints start the season 3-2, but I think we'll finally see a more wide-open offensive affair here this weekend. Or at least, I absolutely believe that the fact that New Orleans has played to so many low-scoring defensive battles to open the season, has influenced the oddsmakers this week, as this O/U line is definitely now TOO low, and the value now swings the other way as far as the total is concerned this week.

Houston is 2-3. It had its two game win streak snapped in last week's 21-19 loss at Atlanta.

The Texans' CJ Stroud has yet to throw an interception and I think he and the Saints' Derek Carr will be the main storyline in tomorrow's summaries of this contest.

This number is low, the play is the OVER.

Good luck, NP