This is a 10* AL EAST GAME OF THE YEAR on the Blue Jays.

The Jays have lost three straight. They had won four of five previous to that. Now in third in the AL East, Toronto can't afford to lose anymore games to the division leader.

Baltimore has taken the first two games of this series, including yesterday's in blowout fashion vs. Hyun-Jin Ryu.

Note though that the Jays are 7-3 in their last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. They're also 8-4 in their last 12 in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent.

It's "gut check" time in Toronto. Essentially, "now or never" type of situation.

Fortunately for Jays' fans (and us!), this is a completely lop-sided starting pitching matchup which I believe firmly swings the value in favor of the home side today.

The Orioles hand the ball to Grayson Rodriguez (2-2, 6.21 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, while the home side counters with Yusei Kikuchi (8-3, 3.79, 1.28.)

Big mismtatch here working in favor of Toronto and combined with the other external situational factors listed above, this becomes the very definition of "great line value" in my opinion.

Lay the price, the play is TORONTO.

Good luck, NP