This is a 10* AFC NORTH GOW on the Browns.

I like Cleveland to, at the very least, keep this one competitive enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door with the field goald and hook.

Pittsburgh has nearly 85% of the early money on it, and so there's just zero chance I'll be taking the Steelers. The total looks super difficult as well, and so that just leaves the hungry Browns, who are just 2-8 straight up and 3-7 against the spread.

The Steelers are both 8-2 straight up and 8-2 against the spread, which makes it no wonder why everyone and their grandma has jumnped on the flavor of the week in Russell Wilson and company.

Pittsburgh though does seemed primed for a letdown here finally on the short week in my estimation though.

That's not to take anything away from the Steelers and Mike Tomlin, who have been exceptional overall to this point.

But off five straight straight up and against the spread victories, including a tight 18-16 win over division rival Baltimore last weekend, and then with another big and difficult game at division rival Cinncinati next weekend, I say this is a trap game for Pittsburgh (a letdown and a look-ahead position always signals a trap game to me.)

Cleveland is simply playing for pride at this point, as it's just 2-8 overall after a 35-14 loss at New Orleans.

The Browns' Jameis Winston has been competitive so far I've thought, last week he had 395 passing yards and two touchdowns.

As primarily a situational capper, this one falls right into my wheelhouse.

Grab the points, the play is CLEVELAND.

Good luck, NP