The Coach's NFL "THANKSGIVING" SURE SHOT - PHI@DAL
(NFL) Philadelphia vs. Dallas,
Money Line: -170.00 Dallas (Home)
Result: Loss
The Dallas Cowboys are tied with the Philadelphia Eagles for the top spot of the NFC East with both teams coming into this contest with an 8-3 record. The visitors lost big their last time out on the road as they fell 53-20 at Green Bay and have lost three of their last four away from home. The Cowboys are coming off back-to-back wins on the road, and I like their chances at home in this one.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. The Cowboys offense - The Eagles might have earned more yards in the air for the season, but the Cowboys and Tony Romo have really impressed lately. Romo completed 18 of 26 passes against the Giants last week throwing for 275 yards and four TDs, passing for seven total over his last two games without getting picked off once. The Eagles have struggled against the pass all season long, being ranked No. 30 in the NFL against the pass and allowed the Titans QB Mettenberger to throw for 345 yards last week. Also, too much focus on stopping the pass will open up for league leading rusher DeMarco Murray who has 10 straight games where he's earned 100 yards or more.

2. Picks - Tony Romo has thrown six picks all season with three of them coming in the season opener against the 49ers. He's only thrown one over his last five games and has looked very composed on the ball. Mark Sanchez has done well covering for injured Nick Foles, but he has thrown for six picks over four games, with four of them coming in the last two. That could spell trouble as Dallas has one interception in each of its last four games.

3. X-Factor - The Eagles have struggled when facing decent competition recently, only covering the spread once over their last five when playing a team with a winning record.

Selection: This is a play on the Dallas Cowboys (8*)