The Bulls are just 2.5 games out of first in the Eastern Conference, and if Derrick Rose can stay healthy, they might just be the best in the East. Chicago is coming off a home win over the Portland Blazers Friday, and I like their chances of winning on the road in Miami tonight.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Derrick Rose - He scored 31 points on 14-of-24 shooting in the win over Portland, by far his best performance of the season.

2. Battle on the Boards - Pau Gasol should own the boards tonight, facing a Miami team that owns the league's worst rebound differential (-5.2).

3. X-Factor - The Heat are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.

Selection: This is a play on the Chicago Bulls (7*)