The Nuggets lost in overtime by a score of 115-111 at home on Wednesday, and they've dropped three of their last four home games. All of those games were close though, and I like the Nuggets getting points at home Friday against the Clippers.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Home Cookin' - The Clippers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Denver, and they are coming off an uninspiring 102-100 home win over Indiana.

2. Fatigue - The Clippers might opt to rest players having played eight games over the last 13 days. "There's just a lot of games and there's a lot of travel," coach Doc Rivers said. "It's just hard. So we're just going to watch our guys. I'm going to be very cautious."

3. X-Factor - The Nuggets are 28-10 ATS in their last 38 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Selection: This is a play on the Denver Nuggets (8*)