The Golden State Warriors won but didn't cover in a 106-101 win at Boston last night, and they play the second game of a back-to-back in Brooklyn on Monday. The Warriors are at the end of a long road trip, and are likely going to be a little worse for wear here against the Nets. I like the home dog in this spot.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Home Cookin' - The Nets have actually won more games on the road this season than they have in Brooklyn, but they've won three of their last four home meetings with the Warriors. They've also won their last two home games, defeating the Clippers and the Knicks.

2. Fatigue - This isn't just the Warriors second game in as many nights, it's also their third game in four nights. It's the final game of a six game road trip on the other side of the country, so it wouldn't be surprising to see Kerr rest his starters.

3. X-Factor - Nets PG Deron Williams scored 25 points on 9-of-14 shooting in the win at Dallas Saturday.

Selection: This is a play on the Brooklyn Nets (10*)