Rogers' 10* NCAAB Underdog Surprise
(NCAAB) North Carolina State vs. Villanova,
Point Spread: 9.50 | -104.00 North Carolina State (Away)
Result: Win
The North Carolina State Wolfpack have a tough task ahead of them as they get ready to face the #1 seed Villanova. Don't think that N.C. State is going to be intimidated though, they see the big names in college basketball on a regular basis in the ACC. The fact is that they beat the Duke Blue Devils back in January, so don't be surprised if they go for an upset against the Wildcats.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - This N.C. State team seems to have a knack of rising to the occasion when they are up against elite opponents. They've gone 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

2. Nothing To Lose - The pressure is on the Wildcats, while the Wolfpack should be full of confidence after rallying from 16 down to stun LSU. "I feel like if we don't get there, I feel like I failed my team," Pinkston said. "Being a leader, I set the standard to try to get to the Final Four. So if we don't get there, it will be a failure for me."

3. X-Factor - The Wildcats are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 NCAA Tournament games.

Selection: This is a play on the N.C. State Wolfpack (10*)