The Cavs have won three straight, and seven of their last eight overall, but they face a hot Grizzlies team in Memphis tonight. The Grizz have won three straight, and four in a row at home. Memphis is a tough place to play, and the Cavs have a long history of struggling here. I like the home team getting points in this spot.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Home Cookin' - The Grizz are 11-2 in their last 13 home games, limiting the opposition to an average of 85.4 points on 40.6% shooting during that span. They've won five straight home meetings with Cleveland since 2009.

2. Marc Gasol - The Memphis center has scored a total of 45 points while grabbing 19 rebounds in his last two games against the Cavs. Lebron James expects Memphis to look to feed Randolph and Gasol in the paint: "They are who they are and they don't change for no one," James said. "You have to try and beat them at their game and understand they're going to ground and pound."

3. X-Factor - The Grizzlies are 48-23-2 ATS in their last 73 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Selection: This is a play on the Memphis Grizzlies(8*)