The Memphis Grizzlies were comfortably in second place in the Western Conference for most of the season, but faded down the stretch. They will face Portlant in the first round of the playoffs, and the Blazers have even bigger problems. History tells us to expect a low scoring game between these two teams, but because of that we are looking at a really low number.

Here are my keys to the game:
1. Previous History - The Grizzlies have owned this series, winning nine of the last 10 overall. Four of the last six have gone over the total, and two of the last three in Memphis went over.

2. Line Value - Public money has been all over the total in this game, and most of that money is on the under. That's brought the total down to number much lower than we've seen in previous games between these two teams, creating value for a play on the over.

3. X-Factor - The Blazers have seen the total go over in 11 of their last 15 on the road versus a team with a winning record.

Selection: This is a play on the Blazers@Grizzlies to go OVER the total(

.(10*)