The Texas Longhorns are coming off another ugly loss to TCU, and at this point everything seems to be going wrong for the Longhorns. It's not like they have been blown out in all their losses. They lost to Oklahoma State and Cal by a combined four points. I'll take the Horns getting a whole whack of points in a Red River Rivalry game.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - Texas is no worse this year than it was last year, but after getting crushed at home to BYU by a score of 41-7, they got up for this rivalry game a few weeks later. Oklahoma won that game by just five points. Texas won the previous year at home by a score of 36-20.

2. Penalties - The Sooners committed 12 penalties for 134 total yards in a home win over West Virginia last week. They will need to be far more disciplined here on the road if they want to cover a big spread against Texas.

3. X-Factor - The Sooners have failed to cover in four of their last five neutral site games, and four of their last five versus Texas.

Selection: This is a play on the Texas Longhorns (8*)