Texas Tech -12.5 (8*)
(NCAAF) Iowa State vs. Texas Tech,
Point Spread: -12.50 | -105.00 Texas Tech (Home)
Result: Win
After hanging with TCU at home, the Red Raiders couldn't keep up with the Baylor Bears in a neutral site game last week. They return home to face an inferior opponent this week, and I don't think they'll have much trouble with the Iowa State Cyclones.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Home Cookin' - Red Raiders quarterback Patrick Mahomes has thrown for 1180 yards with 10 TDs and just 1 INT in three home games this season. He's up against a Cyclones team that has failed to cover in four of it's last five road games.

2. Cyclones Passing Game - The Cyclones don't really have the weapons to keep up with Texas Tech. Their quarterback Sam B Richardson has thrown seven touchdown passes this season, only one of those coming on the road.

3. X-Factor - The Red Raiders are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games, and 6-1-1 in their last eight overall.

Selection: This is a play on the Texas Tech Red Raiders (8*)