The 2-3 San Jose State Spartans will be in Las Vegas this week to take on the 2-3 Rebels, and the visitors are a slight favorite. The Rebels appear to be a team on the rise, with the momentum of back-to-back wins. I'll take the home dog here in this one.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Joe Gray - The Spartans senior quarterback has struggled on the road, throwing four interceptions compared to just two touchdown passes in three losses. He was picked off twice in the loss at Auburn last week.

2. Home Cookin' - The Rebels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, and they ran for 517 yards and six TDs in their last home game, an 80-8 rout of Idaho State.

3. X-Factor - The Spartans are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall, and 1-6 in their last seven versus Mountain West teams.

Selection: This is a play on the UNLV Rebels (8*)