Arkansas State -4.5 (10*)
(NCAAF) Arkansas State vs. South Alabama,
Point Spread: -4.50 | -106.00 Arkansas State (Away)
Result: Win
The Arkansas State Red Wolves will visit South Alabama in a Tuesday night game featuring a couple of teams from the Sun Belt conference. The Jaguars have a better record at 3-2, but it's the Red Wolves that have had a tougher schedule with losses to Missouri, USC and Toledo. My money is on the visitors, who have a history of beating up on the Jaguars.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Michael Gordon - The Arkansas State RB is coming off a huge game against Idaho, running for 221 yards and three scores on 26 carries. He will face a Jaguars defense that has allowed opponents to score 12 rushing TDs, while averaging over 200 rushing yards per game.

2. Jags Passing Game - South Alabama's quarterback doesn't inspire much confidence, completing just over 50% of his passes, and throwing for seven TDs and six INTs this season. He's been picked off four times in two home games so far.

3. X-Factor - The Red Wolves have won the last three head to head meetings by an average margin of 14 points.

Selection: This is a play on the Arkansas State Red Wolves (10*)