*8* SURE SHOT on Bucks/Cavaliers UNDER.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are undefeated at home, but they are coming off back-to-back road losses at Detroit and Milwaukee. They host the Bucks tonight, with a chance to avenge one of those losses. This should be a gritty, hard fought game, and my money is on the total to come up short of a pretty high number.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - The under is 6-1 in Bucks last seven road games versus a team with a winning home record, and they've also trended under in six of their last seven when playing on one day's rest.

2. Defense - The Cavaliers rank 5th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, allowing just 96.4 points per game. They face a Milwaukee team that scored just 86 points in it's last game, and ranks 25th in the NBA averaging just 96.6 points per game.

3. X-Factor - The under is 17-4 in Bucks last 21 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600.

Selection: This is a play on the Bucks@Cavs to go UNDER the total (8*)