Rogers' 5-Play NBA Report - 69-50 +$14,156 NBA Y-T-D!
(NBA) Dallas vs. Golden State,
Total: 214.50 | -105.00 Over
Result: Loss
*8* play on UNDER Mavs/Warriors.

The Golden State Warriors are coming off a 120-90 win over the Spurs, which came just a week after crushing the Cavs by a score of 132-98 in Cleveland. They have put the rest of the league on notice, and there is absolutely no doubt that they are by far the best in the league. There isn't much left to prove, and tonight's game against Dallas looks like a possible let down spot.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - The Mavs have been a great bet when playing the league's top teams. They are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 versus teams with a winning record, and they've covered the spread in seven of their last 10 when playing on back to back nights.

2. Trends - The under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Golden State, and the Mavs have failed to reach the total in eight of their last nine road games.

3. X-Factor - The Warriors are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.

Selection: This is a play on the Mavs@Warriors to go UNDER the total (8*)