The Nevada Woldpack have been cruising in the CBI Tournament so far, but after winning three straight home games versus inferior opposition, they travel to Kentucky to take on the Morehead State Eagles. The Eagles have won two of their three games in the tournament on the road, and they crushed the Duquesne Dukes by double-digits at home. I think Nevada is going to struggle here, and my money is on the home team.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - The Eagles come in as winners of nine of their last 10 overall, and they've covered the spread in seven of their last eight. Going back even further, they are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall.

2. Home Cookin' - The Eagles boast a 12-2 home record, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games. They have played particularly good defense on their home floor, limiting opponents to an average of 64.7 points on just 40 percent shooting. Nevada has really struggled offensively, shooting just 39.4 percent from the field while going 5-9 on the road this season.

3. X-Factor - Moreahead State's leading scorer Xavier Moon is shooting 50 percent from beyond the arc in the tournament so far.

Selection: This is a play on the Morehead State Eagles (10*)