The Oklahoma City Thunder will travel north of the border to face the Toronto Raptors, and this is a game that could be more meaningful to the home team. The Raptors are just 2.5 games back of first place Cleveland in the East, while the Thunder are firmly planted in third place in the West, miles ahead of the Clippers, and even further behind the second place Spurs. I think the total for this game looks a little inflated, and my money is on the under.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - Both these teams are capable of scoring more than their share of points, but previous meetings have trended toward the under. They've failed to reach total in eight of the last nine meetings, and Oklahoma City has gone under in five of it's last six versus teams with a winning record.

2. Home Cookin' - The Raptors are 28-8 at home this season, and they rank 5th in the NBA allowing opponents to average just 98 points per game. They allowed opponents to score more than 100 points in only four of those 28 home wins. Toronto has also gone under in 10 of it's last 11 versus Western Conference teams.

3. X-Factor - Oklahoma City has played low scoring games against non-conference foes, with the under going 17-7 in the Thunder's last 24 versus the Eastern Conference.

Selection: This is a play on the UNDER Thunder@Raptors (Free)