The Washington Nationals ended a three-game skid when they tied this three-game series 1-1 with a 7-1 win last night. The New York Mets have struggled lately with just one win in their past six games, and I think we're getting a great price on the visitors at Citi Field here in the rubber match of this set.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - The Mets hand the ball to Matt Harvey (3-5, 4.93) who has posted a 1.77 ERA in 10 meetings with Washington, but he was lit up for five runs on 11 hits in 5 2/3 innings at Colorado his last start. The Nats counter with Stephen Strasburg (6-0, 2.95 ERA) who has had a terrific start to the year. The Nats have won each of his eight starts and the right-hander has recorded 65 strikeouts in 55 innings. He has posted a respectable 2.78 ERA in previous meetings with the Mets.

2. Road Warriors - The Nats are 5-1 in Strasburg's last six starts at Citi Field and they've won each of his past seven starts on the road overall.

3. X-Factor - Harvey has a .311 batting average against this season.

Selection: This is a play on the Washington Nationals (10*)