The Tampa Bay Lightning evened this Eastern Conference Finals series with a 4-3 win at Amalie Arena on Friday. I think the Pittsburgh Penguins will take command of the series again with a win on home ice Sunday night.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Home Cookin' - The Pens lost the series-opener 3-1 but have won six of their eight playoff games home at Consol Energy Center. The Lightning have won just two of the past 10 meetings in Pittsburgh.

2. Special Teams - The Penguins are 3-for-13 on the man advantage in the series and have scored on 26.4 percent of their chances in the playoffs. Tampa Bay has scored on just 17.6 percent of its opportunities.

3. X-Factor - Phil Kessel leads the Penguins with 17 points in the playoffs and has five goals in his last five games.

Selection: This is a play on the Pittsburgh Penguins (5*)