Even after upsetting the Spurs in six games in the Western Conference semi finals, nobody expected the Thunder to come into Oracle Arena and beat Golden State in Game 1. They have managed to come back home with the series tied 1-1, and still rhey are an underdog in Game 3. My money is on the Thunder.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. The Thunder's Defense - The fact that Oklahoma City has bags of offensive talent has never been in doubt, but the team really buckled down on defense against the Spurs. San Antonio scored opened the series with a 124-92 victory but was held to an average of 96.8 points per game in the following five.

2. Previous History - The Warriors are 0-3-1 ATS in the last four meetings in Oklahoma City, and the Thunder have covered the spread in five straight when coming off a loss.

3. X-Factor - Oklahoma City has long been considered a two-man team and to reliant on Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook, but let's not forget center Steven Adams who averaged 11 points on 70.3 percent shooting and 11.8 rebounds in the six games against San Antonio.

Selection: This is a play on the Oklahoma City Thunder (10*)