The Oklahoma City Thunder took command of the Western Conference Finals series with a 133-105 win on Sunday. That was the first game of the series to go over the total, and I don't think we'll see quite as many points in tonight's Game 4.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Situational - The Warriors have been good at bouncing back from poor defensive outings. The under is 6-1-1 in Golden State's last eight after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game and 12-5 in its last 17 when its opponent scores 100 points or more in the previous game.

2. Unsustainable Numbers - The Thunder shot 50 percent from the field and went 33-of-37 from the foul-line in Game 3. We do often see teams follow such a performance with a much poorer one and that will likely be the case tonight too.

3. X-Factor - The Warriors Draymond Green, one of the league's best defenders, escaped a suspension for a flagrant foul for kicking Steven Adams in the groin and will be suited up for tonight's contest.

Selection: This is a play on GSW@OKC to go UNDER the total in the first half (10*)