The Atlanta Braves are tied with the Twins for the worst record in baseball this season, but the weekend has been kind to them so far as they can complete the sweep of a three-game set against the Miami Marlins Sunday afternoon. The Fish are likely to struggle here against Atlanta's ace, and I'm backing the home team at Turner Field.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - The Braves hand the ball to Julio Teheran (1-4, 2.57) who has posted a fantastic 0.89 ERA in his last six starts. The right-hander is 5-2 with a 2.71 ERA in 12 starts against the Fish, 1-0 with a 2.53 ERA in five at home. Miami counters with Tom Koehler (2-5, 4.79 ERA). The Marlins have lost each of his last five turns and seven of his nine starts this year. Koehler was ripped for six runs (five earned) and nine hits in 3 2/3 frames of a 6-4 loss against Atlanta on April 16.

2. Previous Meetings - The Marlins are the only team Atlanta has had any success against this season. The Braves have averaged 5.8 runs while going 5-0 against the Fish. Braves are 8-3 in Teheran's last 11 starts against Miami.

3. X-Factor - Tom Koehler has given up five free passes in each of his last three starts and he has just 37 strikeouts vs. 30 walks this season.

Selection: This is a play on the Atlanta Braves 1st 5 innings (8*)