The Oklahoma City Thunder blew a late lead in Game 6, and now they have to try to win on the road at Oracle Arena in a deciding Game 7. The good news is that they know they can win here, as they took Game 1 in this building by a score of 108-102. My money is on the Thunder plus the points for the first half.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - The Thunder have gotten off to good starts, leading at halftime in three of the last four games in this series. The Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win. They could suffer a slight let down early in Game 7, with another slow start coming off an improbable come from behind win.

2. Three-Point Shooting - The difference in Game 6 was Golden State's 21 made three-pointers, while the Thunder were just 3-of-23 from beyond the arc. It's unlikely that the three-point shooting will be so lopsided here in Game 7.

3. X-Factor - The Thunder had a total of 10 blocked shots in Game 6.

Selection: This is a play on the Oklahoma City Thunder 1st Half (10*)