The Giants had won 12 of 13 before losing Game 2 of this home series versus the Phillies last night. The rubber match goes this afternoon, and I expect the Giants to bounce back with an easy win here at AT&T Park.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - Johnny Cueto will be on the mound for the Giants, and he's been dominant in San Francisco. Cueto (11-1, 2.06 ERA) allowed one run on four hits, striking out six in 6.2 innings in a win at Pittsburgh in his last start. He's 4-1 with a 1.95 ERA in seven starts at home, and the Giants are 9-1 in his last 10 starts.

2. Batter vs. Pitcher - Philly is batting just .200 over a combined 55 at bats in previous meetings with Cueto. During that span they have struck out 13 times and managed just 11 hits.

3. X-Factor - The Phillies recorded the upset last night, but they had lost six straight at San Francisco previously.

Selection: This is a play on the San Francisco Giants -1.5 (10*)