Rogers' Friday Night Feature >> 6-1 Last Week in NCAAF!
(NCAAF) Toledo vs. BYU,
Point Spread: -3.50 | -115.00 BYU (Home)
Result: Loss
Toledo: The Rockets have opened the 2016 season at 3-0 and come into this Friday night game in Provo having not played last Saturday. Toledo is averaging 42.7 PPG (20th), led by QB Logan Woodside, who has completed 62.2 percent of his throws for 939 yards with 11 TDs and just one INT. He's balanced by a solid running game, which averages 230.0 YPG on 5.6 YPC. RB Hunt, who had the 21st 100-yard game of his career in Toledo's last game vs. Fresno St. (September 17), leads the team in rushing with 267 yards on 5.2 YPC. The Toledo "D" is allowing just 10.0 PPG (3rd) on 251.7 YPG (7th).

BYU: The Cougars have been "through the ringer" in opening 1-3. After a season-opening two-point win over Arizona, the Cougars have lost to Utah (by one point), to UCLA (by three points) and to West Va. (by three points). QB Taysom Hill has completed 60.3 percent but has just four TDs against seven INTs. The running game averages 164.8 YPG on 4.7 YPC. After facing a gauntlet of above-average offenses early in the 2016 season, the BYU defense finds itself ranked No. 58 overall in total yards, allowing 382.3 YPG (261.5 passing / 120.8 rushing). However, BYU has faced a four-game stretch against teams with at worst, with above-average offenses.

The pick: BYU has made 11 consecutive bowl appearances (starting in 2005) but if the Cougars fall to 1-4 with a loss here, the team's bowl hopes are all but ‘dead.' Yes, the BYU defense has stood up to quality offense but guess what, that unit will face another excellent offensive team in Toledo. All five OL starters have been in the Toledo program for multiple years and after three games, that group has not allowed a single sack. Hunt is a highly-gifted RB and Woodside is making his mark as a quality QB. Junior WR Cody Thompson is currently ranked first in the NCAA in YPC, accounting for 32.8 yards on each of his 11 catches, with a touchdown in each game. A 12-0 regular season is not out of the question for the Rockets (pending a MAC title game) and note that Toledo takes a nine-game road winning streak into this game. However, BYU's season is on the line here, a loss and it's basically over. I not ready to count the Cougars out just yet. After four nip-and-tuck games, BYU wins one and by a double-digit margin. BYU is an 8* play.