PREMIUM
Rogers' Sunday Night Total MASSACRE
(NFL) Indianapolis vs. Houston,
Total: 48.50 | -103.00 Over
Result: Loss
Total: 48.50 | -103.00 Over
Result: Loss
The set-up: The 2-3 Colts visit Houston to take on the 3-2 Texans in a very important AFC South matchup. If the Colts win, they will be tied with the Texans but a loss means the Texans move to 4-2 and the Colts fall two games back. The Colts dominated this division with Peyton but the Texans have won the division three times in the last five years, while the Colts won in 2013 and 2014 behind Andrew Luck.
Indianapolis: Luck has thrown for 10 TDs against only three interceptions while tying for fourth in the league with 1,469 yards passing but he also has been sacked an NFL-high 20 times behind Indianapolis' shaky offensive line. "You don't want your quarterback hit. Period," Colts coach Chuck Pagano said. "We're trying to do everything possible to make sure that doesn't happen and limit that. He knows that and everybody knows that." Luck has gotten little help from his running game, which averages 90.0 YPG on 4.0 YPC. The Colts rank 7th offensively with 27.4 PPG but Indianapolis ranks 30th overall (410.6 YPG) in total defense and allows 29.6 PPG (31st)
Houston: The Texans made a big commitment in signing QB Brock Osweiler as a free agent ($37 million guaranteed) but Houston ranks 27th in total offense (310.4 YPG), 29th in passing (208.6 YPG) and 31st in scoring at 16.4 PPG. Osweiler has completed only 58.0 percent with six TDs and seven INTs and owns a horrific QB rating of 70.6. The Houston defense will have to go without J.J. Watt but it ranks 6th in YPG (330.4) and 13th in PPG (20.8). The Texans have been dismal on the road (0-2 and outscored 58-13) but look to remain perfect at home, where they are 3-0 and allowing 15.3 PPG.
The pick: Luck has won his last five starts against Houston but if he wins here, it won't be because the Colts outscore the Texans. The Houston defense ranks No. 1 in passing yards allowed (181.0 per game) and third in completion percentage (56.9%) and in opposing QB rating (79.0). Meanwhile, Houston's offense has been held captive by ineffective Brock Osweiler. The Under is a 10* play.
Indianapolis: Luck has thrown for 10 TDs against only three interceptions while tying for fourth in the league with 1,469 yards passing but he also has been sacked an NFL-high 20 times behind Indianapolis' shaky offensive line. "You don't want your quarterback hit. Period," Colts coach Chuck Pagano said. "We're trying to do everything possible to make sure that doesn't happen and limit that. He knows that and everybody knows that." Luck has gotten little help from his running game, which averages 90.0 YPG on 4.0 YPC. The Colts rank 7th offensively with 27.4 PPG but Indianapolis ranks 30th overall (410.6 YPG) in total defense and allows 29.6 PPG (31st)
Houston: The Texans made a big commitment in signing QB Brock Osweiler as a free agent ($37 million guaranteed) but Houston ranks 27th in total offense (310.4 YPG), 29th in passing (208.6 YPG) and 31st in scoring at 16.4 PPG. Osweiler has completed only 58.0 percent with six TDs and seven INTs and owns a horrific QB rating of 70.6. The Houston defense will have to go without J.J. Watt but it ranks 6th in YPG (330.4) and 13th in PPG (20.8). The Texans have been dismal on the road (0-2 and outscored 58-13) but look to remain perfect at home, where they are 3-0 and allowing 15.3 PPG.
The pick: Luck has won his last five starts against Houston but if he wins here, it won't be because the Colts outscore the Texans. The Houston defense ranks No. 1 in passing yards allowed (181.0 per game) and third in completion percentage (56.9%) and in opposing QB rating (79.0). Meanwhile, Houston's offense has been held captive by ineffective Brock Osweiler. The Under is a 10* play.
